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Stiri Financiare-Credit Europe Bank (16.03.2007)
TREASURY DIVISION
CREDIT EUROPE DAILY
March 16, 2007


"Maturity is the ability to do a job whether or not you are supervised, to carry money without spending it and to bear an injustice without wanting to get even." - Ann Flanders

FOREX MARKET
On Friday, the greenback was broadly punished by investors as the incoming data continue to fuel worries that the US economy would undergo a slow down in the next quarters. For now, the market gradually shifted focus from the interest rate differentials to the US housing sector and the implications for wider economy shock sentiment. Yesterday, the Philadelphia Fed business activity survey came out worse than expected and poured hot water over the markets.
Therefore, the greenback declined to three-month low against the dollar, even breaking the 1.3300 threshold. In mid- European forex session, the pair surged until 1.3340 zone, but considering the strength of the rally, the 1.3400 resistance zone seems at risk in the short term.
On March 15th, the Romanian currency opened 50 pips lower in the 3.3700 zone, supported by the recovery of the regional markets. In the first hour of trading, RON gained 100 pips against the euro, climbing until 3.3600 zone on back of high off-shore interest. However around noontime, the pair stabilized in the 3.3700 zone, as domestic clients took advantage of the conveyable exchange rates to purchase the euro for their commercial needs.
On Friday, the domestic forex market opened at 3.3620 level, but remained almost flat in the first half of the session amid modest traded volumes. The rally of the RON seems overdone by now and it is likely that we would see a slight upward correction on Monday until 3.3700 zone, although ON interest rates are likely to remain RON supportive.

MONEY MARKET
The overnight interest rates rose even higher on Friday, being traded in the 12/15% zone on the interbank market. The liquidity of the Romanian money market had gradually diminished lately, on back of sustained draining underwent by NBR and MF.

Domestic Markets Foreign Exchange Rates

 

NBR

Daily Change

Year to (%)

Annualized

EUR/RON

3.3722

-0.0088

-0.28%

-0.23%

USD/RON

2.5534

-0.0089

-0.55%

-0.46%

GBP/RON

4.9406

0.0095

-2.47%

-2.06%

CHF/RON

2.0919

-0.0150

-1.00%

-0.83%


Interbank Market Interest Rates (%)

 

ON

1M

6M

12M

BUBID

10.56%

7.88%

6.69%

6.51%

BUBOR

12.75%

9.25%

8.03%

7.88%

LIBOR(EUR)

3.83%

3.86%

4.00%

4.11%

LIBOR(USD)

5.36%

5.32%

5.31%

5.19%


Romanian Equities

 

Last

Daily (%)

BET

8,543.28

-0.68%

BET-C

5,488.22

-0.48%

BET-FI

55,301.39

-0.95%

RASDAQ C

2,962.02

0.53%


Romanian Eurobonds

Maturity

Cupon

Price

Daily (%)

Yield

27-Jun-08

10.63%

107.59

-0.03%

4.31

02-Jul-10

5.75%

104.31

-0.08%

4.31

06-May-12

6.50%

119.07

0.02%

4.28

22-Jun-15

4.125%

96.36

0.12%

4.66


Romanian State Government Bonds and T-Bills

Latest issues

Auction Date

Issue Date

Maturity Date

Avg. Yield

RO0510DBNI36

08 August 2005

10 August 2005

10 August 2010

7.48%

RO0515DBN143

15 August 2005

17 August 2005

17 August 2015

7.49%

RO0508DBN155

15 September 2005

19 September 2005

19 September 2008

7.60%


International Equities

 

Last

Daily Change

Year Low

Year High

S&P 500

1,318.03

0.37%

1,265.95

1,459.68

DJI

12,159.68

0.22%

12,075.96

12,318.62

NASDAQ

2,378.70

0.29%

2,340.68

2,524.94

XETRA DAX

6,585.47

2.14%

6,447.70

7,027.59

NIKKEI 225

16,744.15

-0.69%

15,154.06

18,215.35


International Market Exchange Rates

CURRENCY

Latest

Daily Change

EUR/USD

1.3303

0.70%

GBP/USD

1.9398

0.37%

USD/CHF

1.2093

-0.75%

USD/SEK

6.9597

-0.91%

USD/JPY

116.89

-0.34%


EUR/USD trading rate

Support

 

Resistance

 

Sup. 1

1.3120

Res. 1

1.3200

Sup. 2

1.3090

Res. 2

1.3230

Sup. 3

1.3070

Res. 3

1.3260

Sup. 4

1.3020

Res. 4

1.3280


Commodities

 

Latest

Daily (%)

GOLD

647.1

0.37%

SILVER

13

1.25%

OIL (BRENT)

60.89

-0.80%


Interest Rates for Time Deposits of Finansbank (Romania) SA

 

1WK

1M

3M

6M

9M

12M

Minimum Amount

USD

0.50%

4.25%

4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.50%

USD 1,000

EUR

0.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.25%

4.75%

EUR 1,000

RON

3.00%

7.25%

7.25%

7.50%

7.50%

7.75%

RON 2,000



Released by Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A.,3rd Nerva Traian Street, Bucharest. For further information please contact Melania Hancila -Treasury & Capital Markets Division, Phone 308 52 66, Fax 318 87 74.
Disclaimer: This report does not represent an investment advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any kind of investment vehicle. The information in the report is based on sources available to the public and believed to be reliable, and there is no claim that is accurate or complete. Thereafter this information can be changed without notice.
Publicat de Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A., Nerva Traian nr.3, Bucuresti. Pentru mai multe informatitii si intrebari, va rugam contactati Departamentul Trezorerie si Piete de capital - Melania Hancila, Telefon: 308 52 66, Fax: 318 87 74.
Acest buletin are scop informativ si nu reprezintaun sfat sau recomandare de a investi in nici un tip de instrument. Informatiile care stau la baza acestui raport zilnic au o sursa publica, considerata sigura insa, nu sustinem ca este completa. Astfel ca informatiile publicate mai sus se pot schimba fara un anunt prealabil.
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