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Stiri Financiare-Credit Europe Bank (28.03.2007)
TREASURY DIVISION
CREDIT EUROPE DAILY
March 28, 2007


"The opinion of the intelligent is better than the certainty of the ignorant." - Egyptian proverb

FOREX MARKET
FOREX MARKET Players turned reluctant to risk after intensifying geopolitical disturbances which induced a steep rise in oil prices and a drop in equities prices. The market will be focusing over Bernanke's congressional testimony later today to figure out the outcome of the Federal Reserve near-term monetary policy. Around mid European session, the EUR/USD is rangebound in the 1.3320-1.3350 zone.
On March 27th, the single currency was bided at 3.3680 level at the opening of the domestic trade. In early trading, RON was slightly affected by NBR's recent rate cut, but the move was short-lived as the sellers made their appearance and gradually pushed the pair down to 3.3550 zone around closing session.
On Wednesday, the forex domestic market opened at 3.3600 zone, but soon sustained buying orders took the pair until 3.3680 level. The euro purchases came mainly from local clients for their end-month payments. It is likely that EUR/RON would maintain in the 3.3600 area in the last days of the month, but starting April RON is likely to strengthen due to the Easter remittances.

MONEY MARKET
On Wednesday, the overnight maturities are traded at 6.75/7.75% bids/asks, as interbank market quickly repositioned after the recent rate cut. On Monday, the National Bank drained back the 2 billion RON which matured the same day, at the 8% rate.
On March 26th meeting, the National Bank of Romania diminished its monetary policy rate by 50 bps to 7.5%, after a 75 bps cut the month before, taking by surprise most of the market watchers. Analysts had expected that NBR would wait several months to fully weight in the effects on inflation of the previous cut, before rushing to further easing of the monetary policy. NBR confirmed once more that their main concern is the exchange rate stability, rather than consolidation of disinflation process.

Domestic Markets Foreign Exchange Rates

 

NBR

Daily Change

Year to Date(%)

Annualized

EUR/RON

3.3678

0.0099

-0.41%

-0.33%

USD/RON

2.5229

-0.0084

-1.74%

-1.41%

GBP/RON

4.9552

-0.0048

-2.19%

-1.77%

CHF/RON

2.0793

0.0063

-1.60%

-1.29%


Interbank Market Interest Rates (%)

 

ON

1M

6M

12M

BUBID

6.88%

6.88%

6.50%

6.40%

BUBOR

7.81%

7.90%

7.98%

7.84%

LIBOR(EUR)

3.83%

3.87%

4.03%

4.16%

LIBOR(USD)

5.30%

5.32%

5.33%

5.21%


Romanian Equities

 

Last

Daily (%)

BET

8,552.58

-0.61%

BET-C

5,552.42

-0.46%

BET-FI

58,995.21

1.89%

RASDAQ C

3,135.78

0.00%


Romanian Eurobonds

Maturity

Cupon

Price

Daily (%)

Yield

27-Jun-08

10.63%

107.36

0.06%

4.34

02-Jul-10

5.75%

104.04

-0.07%

4.38

06-May-12

6.50%

118.47

-0.04%

4.38

22-Jun-15

4.125%

95.61

-0.44%

4.78


Romanian State Government Bonds and T-Bills

Latest issues

Auction Date

Issue Date

Maturity Date

Avg. Yield

RO0510DBNI36

08 August 2005

10 August 2005

10 August 2010

7.48%

RO0515DBN143

15 August 2005

17 August 2005

17 August 2015

7.49%

RO0508DBN155

15 September 2005

19 September 2005

19 September 2008

7.60%


International Equities

 

Last

Daily Change

Year Low

Year High

S&P 500

1,318.03

-0.62%

1,266.74

1,459.68

DJI

12,397.29

-0.58%

12,461.14

12,481.01

NASDAQ

2,437.43

-0.74%

2,340.68

2,524.94

XETRA DAX

6,858.34

0.43%

6,447.70

7,027.59

NIKKEI 225

17,254.73

-0.64%

15,557.45

18,215.35


International Market Exchange Rates

CURRENCY

Latest

Daily Change

EUR/USD

1.3343

0.09%

GBP/USD

1.3341

-32.23%

USD/CHF

1.2126

-0.21%

USD/SEK

6.9663

-0.35%

USD/JPY

117.29

-0.58%


EUR/USD trading rate

Support

 

Resistance

 

Sup. 1

1.3320

Res. 1

1.3370

Sup. 2

1.3260

Res. 2

1.3410

Sup. 3

1.3200

Res. 3

1.3480

Sup. 4

1.3160

Res. 4

1.3520


Commodities

 

Latest

Daily (%)

GOLD

665.6

0.26%

SILVER

13.29

-0.37%

OIL (BRENT)

64.69

-0.28%


Interest Rates for Time Deposits of Finansbank (Romania) SA

 

1WK

1M

3M

6M

9M

12M

Minimum Amount

USD

0.50%

4.25%

4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.50%

USD 1,000

EUR

0.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.25%

4.75%

EUR 1,000

RON

3.00%

7.25%

7.25%

7.50%

7.50%

7.75%

RON 2,000



Released by Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A.,3rd Nerva Traian Street, Bucharest. For further information please contact Melania Hancila -Treasury & Capital Markets Division, Phone 308 52 66, Fax 318 87 74.
Disclaimer: This report does not represent an investment advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any kind of investment vehicle. The information in the report is based on sources available to the public and believed to be reliable, and there is no claim that is accurate or complete. Thereafter this information can be changed without notice.
Publicat de Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A., Nerva Traian nr.3, Bucuresti. Pentru mai multe informatitii si intrebari, va rugam contactati Departamentul Trezorerie si Piete de capital - Melania Hancila, Telefon: 308 52 66, Fax: 318 87 74.
Acest buletin are scop informativ si nu reprezintaun sfat sau recomandare de a investi in nici un tip de instrument. Informatiile care stau la baza acestui raport zilnic au o sursa publica, considerata sigura insa, nu sustinem ca este completa. Astfel ca informatiile publicate mai sus se pot schimba fara un anunt prealabil.
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